Preseason Rankings
Kennesaw St.
Atlantic Sun
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-12.4#338
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace69.5#167
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-7.4#336
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-5.0#325
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.0% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 n/a 15.5
.500 or above 2.5% 13.3% 2.4%
.500 or above in Conference 12.7% 18.3% 12.7%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.7% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 33.1% 11.3% 33.1%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Kansas St. (Away) - 0.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 1.20.0 - 1.2
Quad 1b0.0 - 1.70.0 - 2.9
Quad 20.2 - 4.40.2 - 7.3
Quad 31.1 - 7.41.3 - 14.7
Quad 45.2 - 7.76.6 - 22.4


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 14   @ Kansas St. L 54-81 0.2%   
  Nov 12, 2018 322   @ Samford L 74-77 30%    
  Nov 16, 2018 51   Missouri L 57-79 2%    
  Nov 17, 2018 102   Old Dominion L 56-73 7%    
  Nov 19, 2018 273   Eastern Kentucky L 69-75 29%    
  Nov 24, 2018 109   Belmont L 63-79 12%    
  Nov 27, 2018 80   @ Georgia L 56-75 3%    
  Dec 01, 2018 156   Hofstra L 68-81 19%    
  Dec 13, 2018 218   @ Gardner-Webb L 65-74 14%    
  Dec 15, 2018 287   Tennessee Tech L 68-73 42%    
  Dec 18, 2018 231   Elon L 67-75 32%    
  Dec 28, 2018 113   @ Georgia Tech L 58-74 5%    
  Jan 02, 2019 122   @ Yale L 65-80 6%    
  Jan 05, 2019 228   @ NJIT L 65-73 17%    
  Jan 09, 2019 289   Jacksonville L 69-74 42%    
  Jan 16, 2019 155   Liberty L 59-72 19%    
  Jan 19, 2019 179   Florida Gulf Coast L 69-80 23%    
  Jan 21, 2019 136   @ Lipscomb L 71-86 7%    
  Jan 24, 2019 340   @ North Alabama W 69-68 44%    
  Jan 30, 2019 213   North Florida L 77-86 30%    
  Feb 02, 2019 337   @ Stetson L 72-73 40%    
  Feb 06, 2019 289   @ Jacksonville L 69-74 24%    
  Feb 09, 2019 228   NJIT L 65-73 33%    
  Feb 13, 2019 213   @ North Florida L 77-86 16%    
  Feb 16, 2019 136   Lipscomb L 71-86 17%    
  Feb 20, 2019 340   North Alabama W 69-68 63%    
  Feb 23, 2019 179   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 69-80 12%    
  Feb 26, 2019 155   @ Liberty L 59-72 9%    
  Mar 01, 2019 337   Stetson L 72-73 59%    
Projected Record 6.6 - 22.4 4.6 - 11.4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1 1.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.2 0.5 0.0 2.8 3rd
4th 0.1 0.6 1.8 1.7 0.6 0.1 4.9 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 3.7 2.5 0.6 0.0 8.2 5th
6th 0.5 2.9 5.6 3.9 0.8 0.1 0.0 13.7 6th
7th 0.0 1.9 6.5 8.1 4.2 0.7 0.0 21.4 7th
8th 0.4 4.2 8.9 7.6 2.9 0.4 0.0 24.5 8th
9th 2.6 7.4 7.7 3.9 1.1 0.1 22.9 9th
Total 2.6 7.8 12.0 14.8 15.7 14.1 11.5 8.8 5.4 3.3 2.2 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 100.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0
13-3 54.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
12-4 20.3% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-5 10.9% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.7% 0.0    0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.1% 25.8% 25.8% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-3 0.2% 7.9% 7.9% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2
12-4 0.5% 6.6% 6.6% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
11-5 1.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 1.1
10-6 2.2% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 2.2
9-7 3.3% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 3.2
8-8 5.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.4
7-9 8.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 8.8
6-10 11.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.5
5-11 14.1% 14.1
4-12 15.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 15.7
3-13 14.8% 14.8
2-14 12.0% 12.0
1-15 7.8% 7.8
0-16 2.6% 2.6
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.2%